Counting processes in cancer biology

Statistical Physics and Complexity Group meeting

Counting processes in cancer biology

Event details

In 1953 Nordling came up with an interesting observation concerning cancer incidence rates as a function of age: the probability (per year) of getting cancer follows a power law P\sim T^\alpha where T is the age and \alpha=6 for many cancers. Following this, in 1954 Armitage and Doll proposed a simple model explaining this power law. Their model is based on a stochastic process called the counting process. In this talk I will explain what this process is, how to calculate the time to k events of some sort, and discuss some special cases (Poisson process and some simple models of cancer).