Counting processes in cancer biology

Statistical Physics and Complexity Group meeting

Counting processes in cancer biology

  • Event time: 11:30am
  • Event date: 4th May 2016
  • Speaker: Bartlomiej Waclaw (Formerly School of Physics & Astronomy, University of Edinburgh)
  • Location: Room 2511,

Event details

In 1953 Nordling came up with an interesting observation concerning cancer incidence rates as a function of age: the probability (per year) of getting cancer follows a power law P\sim T^\alpha where T is the age and \alpha=6 for many cancers. Following this, in 1954 Armitage and Doll proposed a simple model explaining this power law. Their model is based on a stochastic process called the counting process. In this talk I will explain what this process is, how to calculate the time to k events of some sort, and discuss some special cases (Poisson process and some simple models of cancer).